Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 14.154477 15.946043 17.892795 20.167802 22.756687 25.614765 29.014230
2025-03-09 11.337679 13.669813 16.393653 19.819536 24.026983 29.042940 35.501935
2025-03-16 9.301825 11.906035 15.148251 19.503079 25.232504 32.558531 42.708536
2025-03-23 8.056861 10.895150 14.643468 19.996139 27.509343 37.776612 53.036232
2025-03-30 6.881716 9.780484 13.819401 19.920158 29.011291 42.228975 63.215914
2025-04-06 5.817638 8.648215 12.788566 19.372027 29.738353 45.702648 72.670960
2025-04-13 5.010141 7.762432 11.973211 18.996408 30.641462 49.576278 83.507769
2025-04-20 4.529862 7.301641 11.729051 19.462684 32.946757 56.070693 99.999011
2025-04-27 4.144205 6.932503 11.570621 20.034537 35.516045 63.456867 119.618894
2025-05-04 3.760924 6.510131 11.257884 20.281587 37.543671 70.233544 139.559702
2025-05-11 3.337977 5.958960 10.641392 19.876521 38.282664 74.717470 155.924332
2025-05-18 2.980471 5.476680 10.080537 19.483682 38.968694 79.204791 173.275026
2025-05-25 2.675159 5.059704 9.600318 19.206748 39.913608 84.554250 194.166772
2025-06-01 2.436105 4.738676 9.261728 19.166754 41.362015 91.294551 220.041242
2025-06-08 2.221186 4.437325 8.921489 19.070872 42.678588 98.023320 247.680595
2025-06-15 2.098832 4.308559 8.917424 19.709311 45.799001 109.639549 291.088626
2025-06-22 1.938122 4.078101 8.666332 19.748497 47.506294 118.169094 328.529930
2025-06-29 1.757195 3.781064 8.230459 19.285865 47.890518 123.410535 358.092913
2025-07-06 1.608081 3.535891 7.878293 18.969208 48.590865 129.643342 392.429392
2025-07-13 1.529108 3.440292 7.857826 19.477315 51.584378 142.887920 452.835866
2025-07-20 1.462153 3.364234 7.873285 20.081436 54.967631 158.041396 524.393833
2025-07-27 1.381436 3.245361 7.769119 20.352446 57.462135 171.130141 593.134878
2025-08-03 1.273394 3.046928 7.441667 19.962390 57.937883 178.067565 641.888729